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arXiv:2507.06952cs.LG

What Has a Foundation Model Found? Using Inductive Bias to Probe for World Models

Keyon Vafa, Peter G. Chang, Ashesh Rambachan, Sendhil Mullainathan

Abstract

Foundation models are premised on the idea that sequence prediction can uncover deeper domain understanding, much like how Kepler's predictions of planetary motion later led to the discovery of Newtonian mechanics. However, evaluating whether these models truly capture deeper structure remains a challenge. We develop a technique for evaluating foundation models that examines how they adapt to synthetic datasets generated from some postulated world model. Our technique measures whether the foundation model's inductive bias aligns with the world model, and so we refer to it as an inductive bias probe. Across multiple domains, we find that foundation models can excel at their training tasks yet fail to develop inductive biases towards the underlying world model when adapted to new tasks. We particularly find that foundation models trained on orbital trajectories consistently fail to apply Newtonian mechanics when adapted to new physics tasks. Further analysis reveals that these models behave as if they develop task-specific heuristics that fail to generalize.

arXiv comments
To appear in ICML 2025
Journal reference
DOI
Subjects
cs.LGMachine Learning cs.AIArtificial Intelligence

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Linked by 3 identifiable commenters in 4 comments across 4 threads, from Jul 2025 to Jun 2026. Found in 1 HN submission from Jul 2025 to Jul 2025. Open submission discussions.

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Discussed in comments4 threads

  1. πFS 1 comment
    • I agree it's an oversimplification. The example I think of is something like Newton's law of gravitation vs Ptolemaic epicycles: one simple explanation replaced many layers of tweaks. It's also a relevant example for AI - one paper tested the ability of Transformers to model…

      ainchView on HNParent context

    • > any human who ever lived Is this falsifiable? Even restricting to those currently living? On what tests? In which way? Does the category of error matter? > can you name one functional difference between an AI that understands, and one that merely behaves correctly in its…

      godelskiView on HNParent context

    • > That's not a contradiction? Correct. No contradiction was intended. As you quote, I wrote "It's not just that". This is not setting up a contrasting point, this is setting up a point that follows. Which, as you point out, does follow. So let me rephrase > If all models are…

      godelskiView on HNParent context

    • Okay, read the abstract and Intro. Recently, in the paper "What Has a Foundation Model Found? Using Inductive Bias to Probe for World Models" your thesis of Ai's lack of capacity to abstract or at least extract understanding from noisy data was largely experimentally confirmed.…

      marvin-hansenView on HNParent context

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