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arXiv:math/0701089math.ST

Isaac Newton as a Probabilist

Stephen M. Stigler

Early discovery. Linked by one identifiable commenter. This paper is outside the main ranking; a mention is not an endorsement.

Abstract

In 1693, Isaac Newton answered a query from Samuel Pepys about a problem involving dice. Newton's analysis is discussed and attention is drawn to an error he made.

arXiv comments
Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/088342306000000312 in the Statistical Science (http://www.imstat.org/sts/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)
Journal reference
Statistical Science 2006, Vol. 21, No. 3, 400-403
DOI
doi:10.1214/088342306000000312
Subjects
math.STStatistics Theory

On Hacker News

Linked by 1 identifiable commenter in 2 comments across 2 threads, from Jul 2016 to Mar 2020. Found in 1 HN submission from Jul 2016 to Jul 2016. Open submission discussions.

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Discussed in comments2 threads

  1. Show HN: Understanding the Monty Hall paradox through code 1 comment

    • Monty Hall himself wrote to the Harvard C.S. Professor Lawrence Denenberg questioning the counter-intuitive logic: > https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/373/the-monty-hall... ____ The topic of the counter-intuitive nature of probability reminds of Newton's letter to Pepys…

      dpflanView on HNParent context

  2. Game Theory Is Really Counterintuitive 1 comment

    • Much of probability is also counterintuitive and challenging to all human minds: for example, here is the classic Newton-Pepys Problem http://www.datagenetics.com/blog/february12014/ and here is further discussion about the logical error Newton made in his solution…

      dpflanView on HNParent context

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