The Favorite-Longshot Bias in Prediction Markets: Evidence from Polymarket · HackerPapers discussionshttps://hackerpaper.kaipfister.de/p/2609.12878/Collected HN comments and submissions linking this paper.enWed, 04 Nov 2026 05:35:47 GMTThe Favorite-Longshot Bias in Prediction Markets: Evidence from Polymarket — mentioned by dozerlyhttps://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50355204urn:hackerpapers:mention:2609.12878:50355204Tue, 03 Nov 2026 17:37:18 GMT<p>This is the only one I’m personally aware of, keying off of a commonly known bias humans suffer from: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.12878 Obviously not compelling on its own though.</p><p><a href="https://hackerpaper.kaipfister.de/p/2609.12878/">Paper and discussion history</a>. A mention is not an endorsement.</p>econ.GN