Has quantum advantage been achieved? · HackerPapers discussions

Has quantum advantage been achieved? — mentioned by svat

Tue, 21 Apr 2026 12:53:25 GMT

> The bet is not “are you 100% sure a CRQC [cryptographically-relevant quantum computer] will exist in 2030?”, the bet is “are you 100% sure a CRQC will NOT exist in 2030?” — from https://words.filippo.io/crqc-timeline/ "A Cryptography Engineer’s Perspective on Quantum Computing Timelines", the OP's blog post from two weeks ago, and the first link in this one. [HN discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47662234] Yes today's quantum computers cannot factor 21, but enough progress is happening fast enough that now there's a >1% chance they will go much further in (say) five years.…

Paper and discussion history. A mention is not an endorsement.

Has quantum advantage been achieved? — mentioned by Strilanc

Wed, 11 Mar 2026 18:08:03 GMT

Minor update: Dominik condensed the blog posts into a pre-print: https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.09901

Paper and discussion history. A mention is not an endorsement.

Has quantum advantage been achieved? — HN submission

Wed, 11 Mar 2026 11:20:42 GMT

Has quantum advantage been achieved?

4 points; 1 discussion reply on HN. Paper and source history. A submission is not an endorsement.