AI Arms and Influence: Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises · HackerPapers discussions

AI Arms and Influence: Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises — mentioned by Majromax

Thu, 11 Jun 2026 23:44:14 GMT

This blog post is based on a paper (https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.14740). The paper is based on a simulated wargame. The wargame is of the author's own design. The wargame design does not differentiate between ordinary defeat and mutually assured destruction, so of course a player about to use would 'push the button.' That's also believed to be true in real life. Results based on simulations can be very informative, but we must always be careful to check how well the simulation framework represents reality.

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AI Arms and Influence: Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises — mentioned by urbnspacecowboy

Thu, 11 Jun 2026 21:36:53 GMT

Paper: "AI Arms and Influence: Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises" https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.14740 Code and full results: https://github.com/kennethpayne01/project_kahn_public

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AI Arms and Influence: Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises — mentioned by gus_massa

Thu, 11 Jun 2026 21:29:33 GMT

I agree, it's also not published in a journal, only in the arxiv. Some articles in the arxiv are good and other are just a blog post formatted in two columns inside a pdf. Anyway, it links to https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.14740 that links to https://github.com/kennethpayne01/project_kahn_public in particular someone already complained https://github.com/kennethpayne01/project_kahn_public/issues... > ... in reality your own approach to the evaluation pushed them towards using nukes with ease. > From your own prompt (v12.py): [direct link…

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AI Arms and Influence: Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises — mentioned by dietr1ch

Thu, 11 Jun 2026 21:24:38 GMT

TIL you can get anchored links to PDFs (at least on firefox), - https://arxiv.org/pdf/2602.14740#subsection.E.2

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AI Arms and Influence: Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises — mentioned by ftkftk

Thu, 11 Jun 2026 21:22:29 GMT

The paper, linked in the article at top and bottom, does contain the prompts in section E: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2602.14740

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AI Arms and Influence: Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises — mentioned by sestep

Thu, 11 Jun 2026 21:19:10 GMT

This is just false. The article links to the 46-page paper [1] which lists full prompts in section E.2. [1] https://arxiv.org/pdf/2602.14740

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AI Arms and Influence: Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises — HN submission

Thu, 11 Jun 2026 19:54:54 GMT

Shall we play a game? My AI nuclear simulation

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2602.14740

206 points; 202 discussion replies on HN. Paper and source history. A submission is not an endorsement.

AI Arms and Influence: Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises — mentioned by pseudolus

Fri, 29 May 2026 16:08:51 GMT

Link to paper: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2602.14740

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AI Arms and Influence: Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises — HN submission

Sat, 28 Feb 2026 22:26:25 GMT

Frontier AI Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises

3 points; 0 discussion replies on HN. Paper and source history. A submission is not an endorsement.

AI Arms and Influence: Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises — mentioned by ks2048

Wed, 25 Feb 2026 20:45:28 GMT

Yes, if you do a bunch of simulations and write-up a technical report, that is science. https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.14740v1

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AI Arms and Influence: Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises — HN submission

Wed, 25 Feb 2026 15:17:41 GMT

Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises

5 points; 0 discussion replies on HN. Paper and source history. A submission is not an endorsement.

AI Arms and Influence: Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises — mentioned by jnsaff2

Wed, 25 Feb 2026 14:32:41 GMT

Direct link to the paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.14740v1

Paper and discussion history. A mention is not an endorsement.

AI Arms and Influence: Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises — HN submission

Tue, 17 Feb 2026 10:26:16 GMT

Frontier Models Exhibit Sophisticated Reasoning in Simulated Nuclear Crises

1 point; 0 discussion replies on HN. Paper and source history. A submission is not an endorsement.