arXiv:2511.19374math.PR
Talagrand's convolution conjecture up to loglog via perturbed reverse heat
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Abstract
We prove that under the heat semigroup $(P_τ)$ on the Boolean hypercube, any nonnegative function exhibits a uniform tail bound that is better than Markov's inequality. Specifically, for any $τ> 0$, $n \geq 1$, $η> e^3$, and $f: \{-1,1\}^n \to \mathbb{R}_+$ with $\int f dμ> 0$, we have \begin{align*} \mathbb{P}_{X \sim μ}\left( P_τf(X) > η\int f dμ\right) \leq c_τ\frac{ (\log \log η)^{\frac32} }{η\sqrt{\log η}}, \end{align*} where $μ$ is the uniform measure on the Boolean hypercube $\{-1,1\}^n$ and $c_τ$ is a constant that depends only on $τ$. This result resolves Talagrand's convolution conjecture up to a dimension-free $(\log \log η)^{\frac32}$ factor. Our proof uses the reverse heat process on the Boolean hypercube, a coupling construction with carefully engineered perturbations of jump rates and a time-smoothed anti-concentration estimate.