The Iceberg Index: Measuring Skills-centered Exposure in the AI Economy · HackerPapers discussions

The Iceberg Index: Measuring Skills-centered Exposure in the AI Economy — mentioned by darkstarsys

Tue, 02 Dec 2025 21:35:36 GMT

It's happening again now with robotics, self-driving vehicles and RL. Factory workers, truck drivers, construction work, order fulfillment, machinists, farm work, medical technicians and more are all very much at risk (same thing as OP: mostly junior roles getting automated). Some info at https://arxiv.org/pdf/2510.25137

Paper and discussion history. A mention is not an endorsement.

The Iceberg Index: Measuring Skills-centered Exposure in the AI Economy — HN submission

Thu, 27 Nov 2025 01:45:43 GMT

The Iceberg Index: Measuring Workforce Exposure Across the AI Economy

1 point; 1 discussion reply on HN. Paper and source history. A submission is not an endorsement.

The Iceberg Index: Measuring Skills-centered Exposure in the AI Economy — mentioned by stego-tech

Wed, 26 Nov 2025 16:22:13 GMT

Read the project and its key paper before commenting: arxiv.org/abs/2510.25137 The key takeaway buried between technical jargon is that these figures aren’t measuring workforce replacement, but task replacement. They aren’t saying AI can replace 12% of the workforce, rather that AI can replace 12% of the work performed, and its associated wage values, expected concentrations, and diverse impacts (across the lower 48). There does not seem to be a more user-friendly visual available to tinker with, at least that I could readily find on mobile. They try to couch this conclusion at the end…

Paper and discussion history. A mention is not an endorsement.

The Iceberg Index: Measuring Skills-centered Exposure in the AI Economy — mentioned by hahahacorn

Wed, 26 Nov 2025 16:09:55 GMT

This is like unbelievably awful journalism. From the abstract: >The Index captures technical exposure, where AI can perform occupational tasks, not displacement outcomes or adoption timelines. Analysis shows that visible AI adoption concentrated in computing and technology (2.2% of wage value, approx $211 billion) represents only the tip of the iceberg. Technical capability extends far below the surface through cognitive automation spanning administrative, financial, and professional services (11.7%, approx $1.2 trillion). [https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.25137] Does the author not know what…

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The Iceberg Index: Measuring Skills-centered Exposure in the AI Economy — mentioned by ChrisArchitect

Wed, 26 Nov 2025 15:38:47 GMT

Source: https://iceberg.mit.edu/report.pdf / https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.25137

Paper and discussion history. A mention is not an endorsement.