arXiv:2508.15260cs.LG
Deep Think with Confidence
Abstract
Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown great potential in reasoning tasks through test-time scaling methods like self-consistency with majority voting. However, this approach often leads to diminishing returns in accuracy and high computational overhead. To address these challenges, we introduce Deep Think with Confidence (DeepConf), a simple yet powerful method that enhances both reasoning efficiency and performance at test time. DeepConf leverages model-internal confidence signals to dynamically filter out low-quality reasoning traces during or after generation. It requires no additional model training or hyperparameter tuning and can be seamlessly integrated into existing serving frameworks. We evaluate DeepConf across a variety of reasoning tasks and the latest open-source models, including Qwen 3 and GPT-OSS series. Notably, on challenging benchmarks such as AIME 2025, DeepConf@512 achieves up to 99.9% accuracy and reduces generated tokens by up to 84.7% compared to full parallel thinking.
AIME was saturated with tool use (i.e. 99%) for SotA models, but pure NL, no tool still perform "unreasonably well" on the task. Not 100% but still within 90%. And with lots of compute it can reach 99% as well, apparently [1] (@512 rollouts, but still) [1]…
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> They really can’t. Token prediction based on context does not reason. Debating about "reasoning" or not is not fruitful, IMO. It's an endless debate that can go anywhere and nowhere in particular. I try to look at results: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.15260 Abstract: > Large…
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