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arXiv:2210.01674physics.hist-ph

Richardson's Forecast: the Dream and the Fantasy

Peter Lynch

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Abstract

A remarkable book on weather forecasting was published just one hundred years ago. Written by the brilliant and prescient applied mathematician, Lewis Fry Richardson, Weather Prediction by Numerical Process was published by Cambridge University Press and went on sale in 1922 at a cost of 30 shillings. Weather Prediction by Numerical Process is a strikingly original scientific work, one of the most remarkable books on meteorology ever written. In it, Richardson described a systematic mathematical method for predicting the weather and demonstrated its application by carrying out a trial forecast. Richardson's dream was that scientific weather forecasting would one day become a practical reality. Modern weather forecasts are made by calculating solutions of the mathematical equations governing the atmosphere. The solutions are generated by complex simulation models implemented on powerful computer equipment. His dream has indeed come true.

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Journal reference
DOI
Subjects
physics.hist-phHistory and Philosophy of Physics

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  1. Cray-1 vs Raspberry Pi 1 comment
    • > It would be a fun project to try and implement a toy model like that. If you really want a challenge, do it using pen, paper and a slide rule, like in the old days[1]. Just make sure to apply appropriate smoothing of the input data first[2]. [1]…

      magicalhippoView on HNParent context

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