What Do NLP Researchers Believe? Results of the NLP Community Metasurvey — mentioned by AgentME

Wed, 08 Mar 2023 11:52:36 GMT

A recent poll of published AI researchers showed a median estimate of a 5% chance AI causes human extinction, with half believing the chance is greater than 10%. https://aiimpacts.org/2022-expert-survey-on-progress-in-ai/ A poll of NLP researchers showed 37% agreed that catastrophic outcomes of AI comparable to nuclear war were plausible. https://arxiv.org/abs/2208.12852

Paper and discussion history. A mention is not an endorsement.

What Do NLP Researchers Believe? Results of the NLP Community Metasurvey — mentioned by gwern

Wed, 31 Aug 2022 19:25:58 GMT

> Is there actual overconfidence? There isn't. Arvind is just making this up. (Anytime a post leads with many controversial major claims and then handwaves away the entire discussion with "We won’t waste your time arguing with these claims.", while providing almost zero references for anything at all, you should smell something rotten. No no, go right ahead, feel free to 'waste our time', you're not charging us by the word. By all means, do discuss recent DL work on time-series forecasting and why DL is unable to predict, the industrial/organizational psychology lit on predicting job…

Paper and discussion history. A mention is not an endorsement.

What Do NLP Researchers Believe? Results of the NLP Community Metasurvey · HackerPapers discussions

What Do NLP Researchers Believe? Results of the NLP Community Metasurvey — mentioned by AgentME

What Do NLP Researchers Believe? Results of the NLP Community Metasurvey — mentioned by gwern