https://hackerpaper.kaipfister.de/p/2206.11831/Collected HN comments and submissions linking this paper.enMon, 02 Nov 2026 11:16:22 GMThttps://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50142845urn:hackerpapers:mention:2206.11831:50142845Sun, 18 Oct 2026 16:54:45 GMT<p>&gt; Some experts sure. &quot;Some experts&quot; say lots of things. I get this is Hacker News so we have to hate AI safety, but you should read more on this topic rather than blithely casting the x-risk viewpoint as fringe. The last hard data we have on the question is a late-2024 AI Impacts survey [1] of 1,580 authors at top AI conferences, who were offered $50 for answering a survey on the topic of the future of AI progress. The median respondent assigned a 5–10% chance (!) to &quot;extremely bad (e.g. human extinction)&quot; outcomes. &gt; On the factual end of things, AI safety experts have been raising the…</p><p><a href="https://hackerpaper.kaipfister.de/p/2206.11831/">Paper and discussion history</a>. A mention is not an endorsement.</p>cs.AI