Overlapping Magnetic Activity Cycles and the Sunspot Number: Forecasting Sunspot Cycle 25 Amplitude — mentioned by jron

Tue, 15 Aug 2023 13:57:52 GMT

Scott McIntosh predicted it: https://arxiv.org/abs/2006.15263 "Our method predicts that SC25 could be among the strongest sunspot cycles ever observed, and that it will almost certainly be stronger than present SC24 (sunspot number of 116) and most likely stronger than the previous SC23 (sunspot number of 180). This is in stark contrast to the consensus of the SC25PP, sunspot number maximum between 95 and 130, i.e., similar to that of SC24. Indeed, as can be seen in Fig. 4b, if our prediction for the 2020 terminator time is correct, such a low value would be a severe outlier with respect to…

Paper and discussion history. A mention is not an endorsement.

Overlapping Magnetic Activity Cycles and the Sunspot Number: Forecasting Sunspot Cycle 25 Amplitude · HackerPapers discussions

Overlapping Magnetic Activity Cycles and the Sunspot Number: Forecasting Sunspot Cycle 25 Amplitude — mentioned by jron