arXiv:1811.10154stat.ML
Stop Explaining Black Box Machine Learning Models for High Stakes Decisions and Use Interpretable Models Instead
Abstract
Black box machine learning models are currently being used for high stakes decision-making throughout society, causing problems throughout healthcare, criminal justice, and in other domains. People have hoped that creating methods for explaining these black box models will alleviate some of these problems, but trying to \textit{explain} black box models, rather than creating models that are \textit{interpretable} in the first place, is likely to perpetuate bad practices and can potentially cause catastrophic harm to society. There is a way forward -- it is to design models that are inherently interpretable. This manuscript clarifies the chasm between explaining black boxes and using inherently interpretable models, outlines several key reasons why explainable black boxes should be avoided in high-stakes decisions, identifies challenges to interpretable machine learning, and provides several example applications where interpretable models could potentially replace black box models in criminal justice, healthcare, and computer vision.
Looking at this from a machine learning perspective, the risk of biases is even higher in these cases because of issues with data drift (Members could change sites, they could start dressing differently, etc.) and imbalances in the dataset (A lot fewer Hamams members than…
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