arXiv:1704.01168stat.ML
Learning Approximately Objective Priors
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Abstract
Informative Bayesian priors are often difficult to elicit, and when this is the case, modelers usually turn to noninformative or objective priors. However, objective priors such as the Jeffreys and reference priors are not tractable to derive for many models of interest. We address this issue by proposing techniques for learning reference prior approximations: we select a parametric family and optimize a black-box lower bound on the reference prior objective to find the member of the family that serves as a good approximation. We experimentally demonstrate the method's effectiveness by recovering Jeffreys priors and learning the Variational Autoencoder's reference prior.
A lot of what they discuss is in the literature on reference priors, if not in other literature on objective priors as well. It's a little complex for a comment on HN, but IMHO the best formalization of overfitting is in the literature on minimum description length, and related…
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