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arXiv:1310.0173stat.ME

The True Title of Bayes's Essay

Stephen M. Stigler

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Abstract

New evidence is presented that Richard Price gave Thomas Bayes's famous essay a very different title from the commonly reported one. It is argued that this implies Price almost surely and Bayes not improbably embarked upon this work seeking a defensive tool to combat David Hume on an issue in theology.

arXiv comments
Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/13-STS438 the Statistical Science (http://www.imstat.org/sts/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)
Journal reference
Statistical Science 2013, Vol. 28, No. 3, 283-288
DOI
doi:10.1214/13-STS438
Subjects
stat.MEMethodology (Statistics)

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